Bitcoin Halving 2024: Is the Rally Over? Analyst Debate Post-Halving BTC Price Outlook

It’s Bitcoin’s halving day today!

Today, Bitcoin experiences its fourth block reward halving, a crucial event in its history. Each halving cuts the reward for mining new Bitcoin blocks in half, impacting the supply of this digital currency. This time, the reward drops from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC per block.

Pre-Halving Volatility

Before the BTCHalving2024, Bitcoin saw some ups and downs. Its price dipped to $59,685 but then bounced back above $65,000. Geopolitical tensions, like the Israel-Iran situation, added to this volatility, showing how global events affect Bitcoin’s value.

Unlike past halvings that often led to big price jumps, this one brought stability. Still, Bitcoin has been steadily rising, going from $15,500 in late 2022 to a high of $73,680. Factors like the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. fueled this climb.

Read More: Bitcoin ETFs See $55M Outflow: Market Correction or Sign of Trouble?

Analysts Have Mixed Views…

Analysts have differing views on the potential impact of the halving on Bitcoin’s price trajectory. While some anticipate a post-halving rally, others, like JPMorgan, have cautioned that Bitcoin may experience a drop due to being in “overbought conditions.” The success of previous halving cycles relied on supportive macroeconomic conditions, according to Goldman Sachs.

What Makes this Halving Different? 

One thing that makes this halving unique is that Bitcoin’s hash rate, which is the amount of computing power used to mine and protect the network, is likely to stay the same. In the past, when the hash rate was cut in half, there were short-term drops that were quickly followed by increases. This time, only small changes are expected. The approval of U.S. Bitcoin ETFs has sped up project development and business adoption, which has led to higher demand for Bitcoin.

But there are still problems with making Bitcoin less vulnerable to future geopolitical tensions, changes in regulations, and technical flaws. Yet, it still draws investors worldwide, cementing its role in finance.

Read More: Bitcoin Price Rally Ahead: As Analysts Predict 15-20% Surge After Upside Breakout

What to Expect Next?

The halving reduces new coin supply, making Bitcoin deflationary. Short-term traders might find it tricky since excitement is already factored into the market. But Bitcoin’s long-term future depends on continuous investment, not short-term ups and downs.